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NBA DFS Picks & Building Blocks Today: Kyrie Irving + Daniel Gafford = 1-2 Punch (January 27) – stokastic.com

NBA DFS Picks & Building Blocks Today: Kyrie Irving + Daniel Gafford = 1-2 Punch (January 27) – stokastic.com

Monday brings a monster slate after a light Sunday, and the fun tips come at 7pm ET on FanDuel and DraftKings. With so many variables in play as the NBA season progresses, today’s focus is on identifying the best NBA DFS building blocks and top picks. Let’s break down the best options for Monday, with Kyrie Irving and Daniel Gafford standout for the Mavericks and Keaton Wallace earning “deal of the night” honors.

NBA DFS Picks & Building Blocks Today: Monday, January 27th


Today’s NBA DFS Picks: Building Blocks

It’s been a while since then Kyrie Irving a referral is presented, but the salary and match are consistent, even with the expansive player pool.

Dallas loses ground in the standings without Luka Doncicwith a 24-22 record on the season and a 5-11 record since going down with his latest injury.

This is a must-win game — not for the season, but for the fact that Dallas is a 12.5-point home favorite against Washington’s terrible defense. This year, the Wizards have the worst defensive rating in the league, allowing 116.2 points per 100 possessions while playing at the fourth-fastest pace.

After a one-game absence, Irving has been quite productive in his last five appearances, averaging 39.8 minutes and 20.8 field goal attempts with a 49.0 percent success rate. That finished with 28.0 points, 4.0 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 1.4 combined blocks and steals. Anything under 50 fantasy points tonight will be a disappointment.

Daniel Gafford I no longer have to share minutes with Derek Lively IIwho is out with a stress fracture in his right ankle, with no chance of returning before early April. Gafford has his own injury issues as well as a tendency to get into foul trouble, but this is a great matchup for him against one of his former teams. He should have a double-double and has a high probability of a 20-10 game. In his last four games, he averaged 30.6 minutes, 19.0 points, 11.8 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 4.3 combined blocks and steals.

On FanDuel, it will be a fun decision point with Gafford ($7,500, 39.6%) or Nikola Jokic (12,800, 9.9%), while Nikola Vucevic ($8,200, 9.1%) is the other center-only option drawing attention from the outfield. Olivier-Maxance Prosper is a good punt play on the major DFS sites and Spencer “Remember me?!” Dinwiddie and Klay Thompson above average rating on FanDuel.


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Keaton Wallace will be the punt du jour in the DFS industry if it gets off to a spot start as expected for Trae Young (hamstring). Two weeks ago, he played 38.5 minutes in place of Young, recording 27 points, six rebounds, eight assists and four steals in Chicago. It’s an outlier, but he should be a foundational game with at least 20 fantasy points and has another 7 to 10 in attainable upside.

Jaylen Johnson (shoulder) is out for the next two weeks while De’Andre Hunter is battling an illness that cost him Saturday’s game. Larry Nance Jr. returned to action, but appears to have re-injured his surgically repaired hand, so his status is questionable. This means additional opportunities for Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu in the front court and Dyson Daniels needs to take advantage of some of the offensive opportunities Young is freeing up.

Minnesota has meandered to a 4-4 record over its last eight games, though tonight is a win-win as the Timberwolves are a 12.5-point favorite. Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Naz Reed are third-tournament options for the featured table, but don’t overlook them in the mid-evening mat.

Jayden McDaniels is worthy of our attention as he sees increased minutes and offensive opportunities without Donte Di Vincenzo. In his first 39 games of the season, McDaniels averaged 30.0 minutes and 8.8 field goal attempts, resulting in 10.0 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 2.2 combined blocks and steals . Over his last five games, that has increased to 37.1 minutes, 11.6 field goal attempts, 14.8 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 3.2 combined blocks and steals.

Today’s best selection of sports betting

Lauri Markkanen is someone to consider going over his 3.5-point 3-pointers in a strong game against Milwaukee

The screenshot of EV portfolio shows that this bet predicts a profit 49% of the time. This in combination with the +120 odds DraftKings results in a superb 7.0% expected value when reporting +106 “True Odds”.

on Stochastic NBA Advanced Statistical Predictions Markkanen projected 29.1 minutes and 2.88 three-pointers. This is, of course, below the four needed for this bet to succeed, but also an average prediction, not a set of outcomes that will occur over the course of the game.

We can see by the red arrows in the screenshot that this number is going down, so act fast before it probably averages out to the +105 line for the most favorable books. The Finn is averaging a career-high 8.4 3-point attempts per game, with his 35.6 percent shooting percentage well below his 39.5 percent mark from his first two seasons with the Jazz. Markkanen has knocked down four or more 3-pointers in 11 of his 33 (33%) games. It’s critical to get that bet on +120 while you can.

Final thoughts on today’s NBA DFS Picks & Building Blocks

Get a head start on tonight’s NBA action! Tune in to Stochastic NBA Live Before Lock Show at 5:00 p.m. ET on YouTube for expert analysis, key insights and winning strategies to dominate tonight’s NBA DFS roster!

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