By james art 
Boise State Point Alvaro Cardenas keeper brings the ball upwards at a 77-59 victory over the Air Force on Saturday, December 21, 2024, at Extramile Arena in Boise. (Photo by Kenna Harbison/Boyz State Athletics)
86-78 Boise State’s victory over the first place in New Mexico on Wednesday was the most impressive Broncos victory in the season. They dominated a Lobo team that was riding a winning series of 8 games and lost only once in a conference game. Wednesday’s victory was upset for many, but Broncos was 11-1 at home and in favor of 4.5 points. Boise State is a borderline invincible at home, and Kenpom and sports books saw it.
Now Boise State turns his eyes to Nevada, and despite the big victory on Wednesday, this team still has something to prove. While the broncas were home lights, they had huge struggles on the road. Boise State is 3-5 in real road games this season, including a loss of 11 points in San Francisco, a 19-point loss in New Mexico and a loss of 17 points to the 17-spot on San Diego. In 6 of the 8 road games, Boise State is also a smaller than Kenpom expectations. Lawlor Arena will be sold out and Kenpom designs a 1-point defeat for Boise State, which gives them a 48% chance of winning. Boise State has slowly started in many of its conference games in the conference game and will be crucial to Broncos to go to a hot start and protect the crowd in Renault to enter the game earlier.
In their previous match with The Wolf Pack, Broncos left with a 66-56 win in a game that they led with 16 with just over six minutes. It was one of Boise State’s best protective performances for the season, holding a Nevada up to 40.5% firing and rotating the Wolf package over 15 times. Offensively, Javan Buchanan led with 19 points, and RJ Keane played 30 minutes of all time Glue Guy Guy. Despite the big victory, I decided that there was a lot of boz that could clean in the offensive end, and having an additional evaluation option at Carmichael would only help to raise what broncos can do offensive.
This game was eventually the opposite point for the Nevada season. The Wolf pack fell to 3-7, and reporters asked Steve Alford how to protect the dressing room from destruction. Wolf again responded with a winning series of four games against the lower half of the mountain West, and recently had a racing trip with Colorado, although he was with two beginners (Tres Coleman and Daniel Foster, more about them later). Guided by Kobe Sanders, Nevada is much better than late, especially because of their crime. After losing Boise State, they have limited speeds less than 12 in their last 5 games and have found a way to get more effective than the interior, firing better than 54% of the two-point range in their last 5 games S In order for Boise State to finish the season, I think they need to rest again in their defense. Try to force the turnover when Nevada attacks the paint and limit their open view of the rim with crunchy rotations. O’Mar Stanley and RJ Keene come out of an encouraging performance regarding the energy and intensity of defense; They will have to bring such a performance on Saturday.
Defense, Nevada still has room for improvement. Currently, they are dead in three -point percentage (38.8% in the MW game) and their protective style allows teams to shoot threesomes in grapes (47% of the opponent attempts are threesome, most in MW). Not surprisingly, 39% of the points that Nevada allows are from threesomes, most in the Mountain West. Boise State comes out of a hot firing against New Mexico and should stay hot beyond the rainbow on Saturday to maximize its chances of winning. Nevada’s defensive style emphasizes that he crashes into drivers, trying to force theft and aggressively to challenge the rim shots. They are the first in the mountain west in the turnover, forced and a third in the speed of a block. As a by -product of this aggressive style, they fake opponents more than anyone in the league. Boise State makes over 77% of its free throws during the season and the exit of large of the charity will be especially important on Saturday. The aggressive protection of Nevada’s help is also given to an attack by teams that give priority to the movement of the ball. More than 69% of the baskets that Nevada allows are aided. For comparison, the national average is 52%and the Boise State is 44%. Nevada gives up more assisted baskets of Everyone in the Mountain West and 6th Most of each in the nation. Before Boise State fans are too excited, this percentage is not a quality indicator, Moreso is an indicator of style. Boise State tends to beat defensive through isolation and out of dribble. Nevada is inclined to win the movement of the ball and the Ritari. However, this favors the preferred offensive style of Boise State, which emphasizes the movement of the ball, cutting and accompanying. Look for Boise State to play for many minutes with Tyson in the center and an extra dose of ball and cutting.
When the Saturdays are announced, be on the lookout for Tres Coleman and Daniel Foster about The Wolf Pack. Foster and Coleman are both starters who missed Nevada’s most game against Colorado. Coleman is reported to have broken his hand and is expected to miss the rest of the season, although this has not been officially confirmed by the school. Foster, meanwhile, has been reported to be involved in ankle injury under San Jose State. Foster missed the last two games and there is no schedule on his return. Daniel Foster (3.3 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 1.8 APG) is the RJ Kene of Nevada. It does not fill out the result of the box or does not score many points, but it protects itself well, is a great rebund for its size (6-6) and is one of the key connectors of Nevada, with 4 or more assists six different this season this season S As for Coleman (7.6 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 3.6 APG), it is an athletic wing, which is one of the conferences, better defenders and Nevada’s secondary playmaker. When the ball did not pass, he was a capable goal scorer, ending with two -digit points six times this season. If Coleman and Foster miss the Saturday match, Nevada will probably play multiple starters 30+ minutes and go to rotation of 8 people. Expect Boise State to attack inside and force Nevada into unpleasant problems.
Broncos in a large update
As the season progresses, there were many discussions about Boise State’s greatest hopes and whether they still have a chance or not. At the end of each article, I will provide a brief update where different experts in indicators and brackets have Broncos’s chances for the greatest:
Boise State’s greatest hopes were put into life in his loss to San Diego State, but a decisive Quad 2 victory over New Mexico showed some signs of life. Boise’s summary moved from 67 to 61 with victory. They probably need to receive these renewable average below 50 to make a shot, but Broncos has passed from consensus “are also considered” as the “next four outwards” with victory. Broncos still have to win in the regular season and even this may not be enough for an offer, but this year the balloon is extremely weak and Broncos is certainly still alive for a big offer offer.
Nathan Carroll is a part -time associate for Bronco Nation News and host TBA’s basketball podcast. Nathan works for Pro Football Focus as part of their data collection team specializing in FBS player data graphics. Previously, he graduated from the Boise State College with a specialty quantitative economy and worked for 5 years in the Boise State athletic department. Follow it on X at Nathan_26_
