By james art 
Kareem Hunt over 61.5 rushing yards (-110)
Tampa Bay’s defense is averaging 131.6 yards per game on the ground this season. That’s pretty bad, but not as bad as what they’re doing against the pass. However, we’re backing Kareem Hunt to go over his total yardage on Sunday.
The line is 61.5, a number he has surpassed in three of four games. He’s also getting a huge amount of carries, with 20+ in each of the last three games, making him a true bell cow right now. He is averaging 77 rushing yards per game and has surpassed his rushing yardage total in two of the last three games.
Bucky Irving under 32.5 rushing yards (-110)
Bucky Irving has been listed as questionable all week, but he is expected to play Sunday. He’s played well this season, but the Chiefs offer a great test with their defense ranked second in the NFL against the run.
The real concern for Irving is opportunity. He had double-digit scoring just twice this season and found himself busted while still timeshared with Rachaad White and, to a lesser extent, Sean Tucker.
If he doesn’t get off to a good start against this good defense, then it’s likely we’ll see the Bucs share the load and ride the hot hand, which could mean a quiet day for the rookie.
Cade Otten over 48.5 receiving yards (-110)
Over the past two weeks, we’ve seen what was already a good season for Cade Otton turn into an excellent one. With two unfortunate injuries to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, it really opened up targets for the Bucks’ young tight end.
Between Week 1 and Week 6, his best line for receiving yards was 52 and he had a combined 163 yards. Over the last two weeks, he had 17 catches on 20 targets for 181 yards and two touchdowns. He’s getting serious volume in this offense and it doesn’t look like the books have fully factored that in yet.
Cade Otton Anytime Touchdown (+333)
We’re doubling down on Otten on Monday nights. The Chiefs haven’t been great against tight ends this season, and Otten led the team in receptions in two games following the injuries to Evans and Godwin.
He is a big body at 6”5 and already has 10 targets in the red zone this season. Given the volume, the odds of him scoring feel much better than the +333 odds indicate, especially if the Bucs play from behind and have to air him out early and often.