By james art 
Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three percentage points in Iowa in a new poll, the Des Moines Register reports.
The poll shows Kamala Harris has 47% support among likely voters compared to 44% for Donald Trump.
Female voters, especially older women, offset the increase in support for Harris.
Iowa poll results from September showed Trump with a 4 percent lead over Harris.
“It’s hard for anyone to say they expected this to happen,” said sociologist J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, The Des Moines Register reported. “She’s clearly jumped into the lead.”
The poll, conducted by the Des Moines Register and the Mediacom Iowa Poll, included 808 Iowa voters. It has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
Trump won Iowa by large margins in 2016 and 2020, and neither candidate has prioritized campaigning in Iowa this year, instead focusing on seven battleground states.
“Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that explain these numbers,” Seltzer said.
Independent female voters backed Harris by a 28-point margin in the poll. Older female voters supported Harris 68% to 28% for Donald Trump.
Read the full Des Moines Register report.
Trump recently edged Harris in an Oct. 30-31 Atlas Intel poll that found the former president at 49.1 percent to the vice president’s 47.2 percent in an expanded field that included third-party candidates. Trump maintains his lead in the head-to-head race, leading 49.6% to 48.2%.
Alan Lichtman, an election historian and prognosticator who has successfully predicted the last nine out of 10 presidential elections, stands by his prediction of a Harris victory. Known as the “Nostradamus” of the election, the latest forecast matches his previous predictions, USA Today reported, even as the vice president’s lead in battleground states shrinks and polls that show a neck-and-neck race.