- A rematch of the 2024 Western Conference Finals is on the NBA schedule Tuesday when the Mavericks host the Timberwolves
- Minnesota is a 5.5-point home favorite against Luka Doncic and Dallas
- Check out Mavericks vs Timberwolves predictions, player details and best odds on October 29th
After falling in five games in last year’s Western Conference Finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1, 1-0 at home, 1-2 ATS) are looking for a measure of revenge against the Dallas Mavericks (2-1, 0-1 away, 1-2 ATS) on Tuesday night at Target Center in Minneapolis (6:40 p.m. CT/7:40 p.m. ET). The T-wolves, who went 30-11 at home last season and enter Saturday’s home opener (112-101 vs. Toronto), are listed as 4.5- to 5.5-point favorites, depending on the sports exchange.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Predictions
- Timberwolves -4.5 (-115) at BetMGM
- Julius Randle over 21.5 points (-110) on DraftKings
Sasha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA record: 7-4 (+2.98 points). All bets 1 unit unless otherwise stated.
The early upside of the Karl-Anthony Towns for Julius Randle trade is positive for the Wolves. After a relatively quiet 16-point night in the season opener — Randle’s first game since January 2024 — the former Knick has led Minnesota in scoring in each of the last two games, both wins. Randle dropped 33 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 117-15 win at the Kings on Thursday and followed that up with 24 points on 9-of-16 shooting in a 112-101 win over the Raptors in the home mini-opener on Saturday.
The Mavericks played at the seventh-fastest pace last year (100.6) and had just the 18th-best defensive rating. While the addition of longtime warrior Klay Thompson should certainly help the team’s three-point shooting (which was ), Dallas really did nothing to improve the defensive end of the floor in the offseason.
Minnesota escaped with two home wins against Dallas in the regular season last year (118-110 on Dec. 28 and 121-87 on Jan. 31) before losing all three home games in the West finals) and went 3-1 overall against The Mavs during the 2023-24 regular season averaged 116.5 PPG, well above their 113.0 PPG average for the season as a whole.
With Dallas coming off a 110-102 win over Utah last night, a game in which Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic and PJ Washington all played 33 or more minutes, I expect Minnesota to continue its regular season dominance over the Mavs on Tuesday night.
DAL vs MIN player props
Player | Points | Struggles | Assists | Three points made |
---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Daniel Gafford (DAL) | 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | OFF | OFF |
Jayden McDaniels (MIN) | 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +154 | Un -200) |
Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
Klay Thompson (DAL) | 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | OFF | 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Kyrie Irving (DAL) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) |
Luka Doncic (DAL) | 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 8.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 8.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154) |
Mike Conley (MIN) | 8.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) | 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
PJ Washington (DAL) | 9.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) |
Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | OFF | OFF |
NBA Player Props by DraftKings on October 29th. Claim a DraftKings promo code for Tuesday’s NBA action.
Doncic, who is averaging 27.7 PPG to start the season, had a game-high 29.5 on Tuesday. Doncic had 40 in a 114-102 loss to the Suns on Saturday, but was held up in both of Dallas’ wins: 15 points in a 110-102 win over San Antonio on Thursday and 28 points in a 120-109 win over Utah last night .
Anthony Edwards (26.5 O/U) has the highest total on the Minnesota side. ANT is averaging 27.7 PPG through three games after scoring a career-high 25.9 PPG last year.
Doncic is currently a +385 favorite in the NBA MVP odds, while Edwards is the fifth favorite with a +1040 average.
Best odds for Mavericks vs Timberwolves
A team | Distribution | Money line | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Dallas Mavericks | +5.5 (-120) at ESPN Bet | +165 BetMGM | Over 221.5 (-105) at BetMGM |
Minnesota Timberwolves | -4.5 (-115) at BetMGM | -180 on FanDuel | Under 222.0 (-110) at bet365 |
As mentioned above, there is a one-point range in the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves spread in Tuesday’s NBA odds. ESPN Bet is currently the best option for Dallas backers, listing the Mavericks +5.5 at -120, while BetMGM has the best odds for Minnesota bettors, pricing the Timberwolves -4.5 at -115.
Counterintuitively, BetMGM also has the longest moneyline odds for Dallas to win outright at +165. FanDuel has the best money price for the T-wolves at -180.
The game total has only half a point. The best price at noon ET is O 221.5 (-115) at BetMGM. The best under price is U 222.0 (-110) at bet365.
Tuesday’s NBA Public Betting has Minnesota getting 72% of the money, but Dallas getting 68% ATS as average underdogs. A whopping 84% of the total game is currently at the end.
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