FA CUP forecasts, odds and best bets: Birmingham can throw Newcastle in the fourth round – Sky Sports

Our betting expert Jones knows that it provides its insight while analyzing FA Cup’s fourth round action over the weekend and makes a case for Birmingham to defeat Newcastle.

Manchester United v. Leicester, Friday 8:00 pm.

This Manchester United team does not score goals. Thank you, Captain obviously!

They have scored only 28 goals in 24 Premier League games this season to the Per -90 average of 1.17 -only Leicester, Ipsy, Southampton and Everton on average.

A key issue stems from their inability to start games with every intention under Ruben Ammonim. Slow starts adjust the tone for the rest of the game.

The only goal of the first half they have scored in their last 14 games in all competitions was the punishment of Bruno Fernandez in the defeat of Brighton and after going to the level of the break against Palace, now is 16 games as this team led after 45 minutes.

It creates some fantastic options for betting, especially with the right result of 0-0 halftime, which is available at 3/1 with Sky Bet.

Result forecast: 1-0

Leighton Orient against Manchester City, Saturday 12.15p.

As someone who was driving the Manchester City train to a winning effect this season, the chance of supporting his opposition on 20/1 with Sky Bet illuminates my eyes up, right? Imagine if City loses Brisbane Road? Pep Guardiola can burn in a thousand pieces.

Orient Boss Richie Wellns is certainly ready for the challenge, saying, “Our analysts were in their element this week because they watched videos of them playing PSG, Arsenal and Liverpool. We felt vulnerable there.”

I like this from Wellns.

City are so open without the ball that the Orient will receive moments, only by being very direct and quickly getting the ball forward – this makes their lines very interesting in terms of betting. Salford, from the Second League, managed to shoot 10 shots in 8-0 reverse this season, while City’s average 12.5 shots are up to 90 in their last 20 games outlined their great structure beyond possession.

Jamie Donley, a loan from Spurs, is a master of Orient shots, posting 23 shots in his last 10 league games. These numbers make 9/4 with Sky Bet when hitting this average and registering two or more photos very interesting.

Result forecast: 1-2

Birmingham against Newcastle, Saturday 17.45 pm – Play Super 6!

Some of them may fall into the trap to believe in Newcastle’s inertia factor, reaching the Carabao Cup final on Wednesday night. First, this is an impossible indicator of quantitative determination, so it must be ignored when making betting decisions and there is evidence in support that creating a bowl finale can actually harm your subsequent league form rather than enhance it S

Just looking at the last six non-six-six team to make the EFL Cup final and their results between their victory in the second game and the final shows a correlation of the loss of form.

In these 24 games, participating clubs suffered 12 losses, five draws and only seven wins. There is evidence that suggests that the preparation of the Cup final offers a little momentum in the next set of games before the big day. Newcastle was included in this sample of clubs when they made the Carabao Cup final in 2023 – they were without victories in their next three games after their semi -final victory, attracting West Ham and Bournemut and lost to Liverpool.

Birmingham escapes the title in League 1, an average of 2.33 points per games this season. This is only improved by Liverpool (2.38) in the best four English divisions. Their victory in the middle of the week Vertu over Stevenage made 18 matches unbeaten in all competitions – running, extending until November 23, when they were humble by Shrewsbury. In the league, they have kept nine clean leaves in their last 13 games, retreating only four goals.

They can cause a disorder here. Finish them to qualify in 100/30 with Sky Bet.

Result forecast: 2-1 | Jones knows “The best bet: Birmingham to qualify (100/30 with Sky bet)

Brighton vs. Chelsea, Saturday 20:00 – Play Super 6!

The theory that has the habit of paying dividends when it comes to football betting is to support a team in order to tighten the protectives that have been trapped in their previous game. Brighton fits into the account after 7-0, which takes place in Nottingham Forest, where they failed to make the foundations of protection throughout the game.

There must be a reaction from their protective production against a Chelsea team, who just missed his own goal from late, scoring only 1.4 goals in the 90s in the Premier League in his last nine games. The line below 2.5 goals at 6/4 with Sky Bet should approach.

Result forecast: 1-1 (Chelsea to win penalties)

Plymouth vs. Liverpool, Sunday 15:00 – Play Super 6!

Those who think Liverpool are the best team in England should consider supporting them in order to win the FA CUP straight when you decide how the market is formed. Arne Slot’s men are 4/1 seconds of favorites with Sky Bet, with Manchester City being rated as market leaders – it doesn’t make a little sense.

This should not prove too much a problem for the Reds based on the current form of Plymouth to win one of their last 16 championship matches. A guest victory with less than 3.5 goals thrown into a 6/5 mix with Sky Bet looks like the game.

Result forecast: 0-2

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham, Sunday 5.35 pm – Play Super 6!

Aston Villa is an easy team to get, especially without Paos Torres. It is a huge pass and I always prevent myself from trusting them without it.

The data show that the Spanish defender is a massive player for them.

Since the beginning of last season, in 51 games with him, the percentage of Villa’s victory is 58 percent and they have allowed 1.3 goals per game. Without it, in the amount of the sample of 22 games, the profit rate drops to 35 percent and they give up 2.1 goals per game. The total percentage drops 23 percent without it, and they recognize 0.8 more goals.

Of course, football is a low -grade sport, so the goals that retreated a number is a red flag when it comes to supporting a villa at this place. This is a more important match for the spurs and they are a bet to rank 7/4 with Sky Bet.

Result forecast: 1-2

Jones knows “The best bet …

1PT in Birmingham for qualification against Newcastle (100/30 with Sky Bet)