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2025 WM Phoenix Open Models Models, Picks: Drivers leading to charge in TPC Scottsdale – Sports Illustrated

2025 WM Phoenix Open Models Models, Picks: Drivers leading to charge in TPC Scottsdale – Sports Illustrated

This week, the PGA Tour remains west in the TPC Scottsdale for the 2025 WM PHOENIX Open open. The disgusting crowd in the famous 16th hole, followed by a memorable stretch of holes, has become the Super Bowl Sunday Stappets leading to the big game.

Being a sandwich between two events with a signature has made the field a little softer than the last few years, but there will still be many big names to spin it. Some players who make the trip to Scotsdale this week include Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, Max Homa, Sungjae IM and Sahith theegala.

The TPC Scottsdale is PAR-71, which measures 7,261 yards and is distinguished by the green Poa trivialis.

Let’s look at some TPC Scottsdale indicators to determine which golfers are proud of the best ratings in each category in their last 24 rounds:

The approach will again be very important this week.

Last year, Nick Taylor won 5.2 beats on an approach. In 2023, Scottie Schaeffler acquired over 10 beats in the approach. When Brooks Koepka wins, he was second on the pitch in an approach, acquired by strikes, leaving only Jordan Spillie, who finished fourth. In 2020, web Simpson ranked first in the field in the category on the way to the victory of the playoffs over Tony Finau.

Greens are relatively flat and the pins must be available.

A common approach acquired by strikes in the last 24 rounds:

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+1.06)
  2. Lucas Glover (+1.03)
  3. Tom Kim (+1.00)
  4. Tom Hoge (+1.00)
  5. Tommy Flithud (+0.99)

TPC Scottsdale is a course that benefits players who can hit him for a long time and straight with the driver. Being in the lighthouse and close to the green will give players many possibilities for evaluation.

Advanced by the triple weights of drivers in the last 36 cartridges:

  1. Min Woo Lee (+1.00)
  2. Luke Clanton (+0.81)
  3. Scottie Scheffler (+0.67)
  4. Sam Burns (+0.58)
  5. Byeong Hun An (+0.55)

Greens tend to become really hard and fast in the Arizona Desert. Statistically Greens in TPC Scottsdale have qualified as “hard” and “fast” in every round, but two since 2015.

Blow acquired on fast greenery in the last 36 cartridges:

  1. Taylor Montgomery (+1.11)
  2. Max Greyserman (+1.08)
  3. Thomas Detri (+1.00)
  4. Hayden Springer (+0.97)
  5. Luke Clanton (+0,87)

These statistics will include players who have done well while playing desert golf in the past.

Hit shots in the desert in the last 36 cartridges:

  1. Justin Thomas (+2.40)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+1.97)
  3. JT Poston (+1.88)
  4. Sam Burns (+1.72)
  5. Sungjae im (+1.69)

Statistics from previous years in TPC Scottsdale claim that the green in regulation is much more inviant for the winner of this tournament than the average tour.

With many bunkers and solid, dry areas around the greens, the lack of surface can be followed.

Total green in regulation percentage compared to the last 24 rounds:

  1. Taylor Pendrite (77.1%)
  2. JT Poston (75.7%)
  3. Sepp Straka (75%)
  4. Austin Ekroate (74.8%)
  5. Nick Taylor (74.5%)

Fighting percentage in difficult shock courses

The difficult thing is around TPC Scottsdale. The rude around the green is criminal and the bunkers are difficult. Players will have to make some sophisticated up and falls to be successful this week.

Percentage of fighting difficult shock courses in the last 36 cartridges:

  1. Greyson Sigg (71.2%)
  2. MATT WALLANCE (70.7%)
  3. Adam Schenk (67.2%)
  4. Sungjae im (66.7%)
  5. Si Woo Kim (66.4%)

New this year, I will generate the “mini model” of the best players for each of the comparative courses. For TPC Scottsdale, I use TPC Summerlin, a course at the PETE DYE, Summit Club, TPC Twin Cities, TPC Sawgrass, Course Tournament Course, Club De Golf Chapultepec, concession and Shadow CDEK.

  1. Scotty Sheffler
  2. Sam Burns
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. JT Poston
  5. Sungjae im
  6. Tom Kim
  7. Mat Fitzpatrick
  8. Nick Taylor
  9. Si woo kim
  10. Maverick Mcnealy

Statistically

Below I reported a complete ranking of the model using a combination of the five key statistical categories discussed earlier.

These rankings are an approach acquired by a stroke (22%), hits from the triple -to -driver triple troi (14%), acquired in fast foliage (14%), a percentage of regulation of green regulation (12%), crashing Difficult collision courses (12%), desert strokes (14%) and comparable course charts (14%).

  1. Hideki Matsuyama
  2. Maverick Mcnealy
  3. Tom Hoge
  4. Sam Burns
  5. Nick Taylor
  6. Scotty Sheffler
  7. Doug Ghim
  8. Si woo kim
  9. Lanto Griffin
  10. Matthias Schmidt

Last week, election results for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am:

Justin Thomas (17-1): T48
Patrick Kantlai (22-1): T32
Jason Day (45-1): T13
Denny McCarthy (100-1): T58

As this market has been ready for a long time, my card starts with Justin Thomas 25-1, which is no longer available. He was trembling last week, and although I am pleased with the bet I have, I’m not sure if there is any value at its current price, which is up to 11-1 in most places.

Sam Burns +3000 (Draft))

Sam Burns is the type of player who can go down and use his driver to get a golf course. In his last 36 qualifying rounds, he has ranked fifth in strokes acquired by the Trinity of Driver Heavy courses. It is also ranked fourth in the desert.

Burns is getting better and better in TPC Scottsdale. After dropping the cut in two of his first three starts, the 28-year-old graduated from the T6 in 2023 and the T3 in 2024.

Last week, Burns had a solid performance of Pebble Beach, ending the T22. However, I have the feeling that the TPC Scottsdale is much more suitable for the BURNS skills set. In addition to the driver’s wisdom, Burns ranks eighth in strokes acquired in fast green. He is the type of player that will thrive this week, playing in front of the exciting crowd.

Sam Burns has already won five times on the PGA Tour, but is now from May 2022, as the LSU product has won an event for a stroke on a tour. This can change this week with a strong performance in TPC Scottsdale.

Sahith thegala +4000 (Draft))

Sahit Teegala is a player who flourished on the west coast and plays in the desert. It ranks ninth in the Strokes field, acquired in the wilderness in total and has already won the PGA Tour in the West.

It was a slow start to 2025 for the former Niklaus Award winner, but the trip to what was one of his favorite courses in the early part of his career, he must return him on the way. In his three trips to TPC Scottsdale, Sahit ended in the top five in two of them, including the T3 in his debut start in 2022.

Theegala can be loosening somewhat from the Trinity, which will not be as exhausting this week as in other events this season. He hits him for a long time and is excellent around and the greens, and is the type of player who can make the pussy if he decreases, is a requirement.

This feels like a very fair price for Theegala this week at TPC Scottsdale.

Byeong Hun an +5500 (Betmgm)

Byeong Hun played a phenomenal circle of Golf on the Pebble Beach Sunday. The South Korean fired 66, which was one of the best rounds of the day.

AN has played WM Phoenix Open quite often, posting four consecutive endings of the top-25 in its first four starts, with its best final coming in the form of sixth place in 2017.

Anne’s driver is a weapon. He has long been from the Trinity and can occasionally hit him straight, which should help a lot in TPC Scottsdale. He is also one of the most unusual around the green players on the tour and is a strong bunker player.

During its last 36 rounds, it ranks fifth in the field of strokes acquired by the triple’s troik’s golf courses of the driver. It also ranks 16th in the shaking of difficult shock courses. If he can get the Putter to cooperate, the 33-year-old can fight for his first victory at the PGA Tour.

Kurt Kitayama +6500 (Betmgm)

At first glance, Kurt Kitayama does not seem in great shape, but the deeper diving gives some reason for optimism.

Although he missed a decrease in Farmers Insurance Open, Kitayama won 0.77 strokes when approaching and 1.11 strokes from the Trinity in his circle of the Torrey Pines South course. The 32-year-old was great in the fall and maybe he just needed a few starts to knock down the rust for 2025.

Kitayama is great in the TPC Scottsdale, ending the T23 and T8 at its two starts in 2023 and 2024. Although not the best Puutter, Kurt has acquired a stroke, putting on the field in a significant way at both starts in the event.

Kitayama is an extremely strong driver of the golf ball and will take the opportunity to use the driver frequently for the course. In its last 36 cartridges, Kurt ranks 8th in the field of strokes acquired by the triples of heavy driver’s courses.

Born in Chico, California, Kitayama is comfortable in the west and has already proven that he can win the PGA Tour.

Ricky Fowler +9000 (Fanduel)

Ricky Fowler quietly plays a solid golf from the fall. The 36-year-old was fourth in Zozo’s championship in October after celebrating the top 25 graduates in the Sanderson Farms and Shriners Championship. It started 2025 with the T21 final in American Express. Last week, Fowler did not finish as well as he liked, but showed glitter gloss with his irons throughout the week.

WM Phoenix Open is the tournament that may have been the most conscientious for Fowler. He has six top 15 ends at the event, including winning in 2019, as well as runners -up in 2010 and 2016.

The PGA Tour would enjoy Fowler’s victory and I can’t stand it to support him at this long price at one of his favorite tour stops.

Beau Hossler +10000 (Fanduel)

Beau Hossler finished Strong week on Pebble Beach, shooting a 68 round on Sunday. He did not finish well during the week, but I am ready to give him a pass based on the meteorological factors that they will not play in the TPC Scottsdale. Before Pebble, Hossler finished T12 in American Express and Open Open Open T15.

Holler hit the ball extremely well from the Trinity this season by its standards. He won 4.84 shots from the Trinity to American Express and 1.80 beats from the Torrey Pines South. Success with the driver will serve him well in TPC Scottsdale.

Holler has done a good job on WM Phoenix Open throughout his career. He finished T14 in 2023 and T17 in 2018, but was otherwise up and down. He grew up in California and played well on the west coast and is the type of player who can get into a hot puppy dispute.

In the fall, Holler entered the playoff of the Sanderson Farms Championship, we hope to regain some confidence. Now the 29-year-old was once a highly valuable amateur, whom I still believe there is what it takes to win the PGA Tour.

The odds are refined periodically and are subject to change.

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